
Bay Area Braces for Another Atmospheric River
The San Francisco Bay Area is gearing up for another significant bout of wet weather as a moderate atmospheric river approaches the region. Forecasts predict multiple days of rain, beginning late Sunday night and intensifying through Monday, potentially bringing widespread impacts across our local communities.
Understanding the Incoming Storm
This isn’t a “major” atmospheric river on par with some of the more intense events experienced in recent years, but it is still categorized as a moderate system capable of delivering substantial precipitation. The storm is expected to make landfall late Sunday evening, with the heaviest rainfall anticipated throughout Monday. While the core of the system will pass relatively quickly, lingering wet conditions are forecast to persist into Tuesday, ensuring several days of damp weather.
Meteorologists are closely monitoring the system, which draws moisture from the Pacific, directing it squarely at Northern California. The Bay Area, being directly in its path, can expect a noticeable shift to colder, wetter conditions. Residents should prepare for consistent rainfall rather than sporadic showers, particularly during peak intensity periods.
Regional Rainfall Expectations
Rainfall totals will vary significantly across the Bay Area, with certain regions expected to bear the brunt of the storm’s moisture. The North Bay hills and the Santa Cruz Mountains are consistently flagged for the highest accumulations due to their topography, which enhances precipitation. Other parts of the Bay Area will still receive a healthy soaking, helping to replenish local reservoirs.
| Region | Estimated Rainfall (Inches) | Primary Concern |
|---|---|---|
| North Bay Hills / Santa Cruz Mts. | 3-6+ | Localized flooding, rockslides |
| Coastal San Francisco / Peninsula | 1.5-3 | Slick roads, urban drainage |
| Oakland / East Bay Hills | 1-2.5 | Commute delays, saturated ground |
| South Bay / Inland Valleys | 0.75-2 | Ponding on roads, increased runoff |
Potential Impacts for Bay Area Locals
While this atmospheric river isn’t expected to cause widespread catastrophic flooding, residents should still prepare for several localized impacts. The primary concerns include minor urban flooding in low-lying areas and locations with poor drainage, which can lead to significant ponding on roads. Commuters should anticipate slick road conditions, reduced visibility, and potentially longer travel times, especially during the Monday morning and evening rushes.
Increased Risk of Rockslides and Mudslides
Areas that have experienced previous wildfires or have steep, unstable terrain, particularly in the North Bay and parts of the Santa Cruz Mountains and Big Sur, will be at an elevated risk for rockslides and mudslides. The saturated ground from consecutive rain events can destabilize hillsides, posing a hazard to roadways and properties. Public works crews will be monitoring these vulnerable areas closely.
Mountain Snowfall
While the focus for the Bay Area is primarily rain, higher elevations in the Sierra Nevada will receive significant snowfall. This is good news for the state’s snowpack, a crucial component of California’s water supply. Local Bay Area peaks are unlikely to see significant snow, though a dusting could occur at very high altitudes if temperatures drop sufficiently.
What to Watch For Next
Following the passage of this atmospheric river, a brief drying trend might emerge mid-week, but forecasters are already looking ahead. The pattern of wet weather could potentially continue into the following week, suggesting that the Bay Area is entering a more active and sustained period of winter storms. Staying updated on local weather forecasts from reliable sources like the National Weather Service and SFGate will be crucial.
Frequently Asked Questions
- When does the rain officially begin?
The first bands of rain are expected late Sunday evening, intensifying into a widespread, consistent rain event throughout Monday. - How long will the heavy rain last?
The heaviest rainfall is forecast for Monday, with wet conditions continuing into Tuesday before potentially tapering off. - Is this storm dangerous?
While not a “major” event, it carries risks of localized flooding, slick roads, and potential rockslides. It’s important to exercise caution and stay informed. - Will this affect my commute?
Yes, expect delays and challenging driving conditions on Monday. Allow extra time for travel and consider public transportation if possible. - What is an “atmospheric river”?
An atmospheric river is a long, narrow region in the atmosphere that transports most of the water vapor outside of the tropics. They can be moderate or major, bringing significant rainfall when they make landfall.
Bay Area residents are strongly advised to prepare for wet conditions, exercise extreme caution on the roads, and stay informed about local weather advisories to navigate the upcoming storm safely and minimize disruption.
Bay Area Braces For Moderate Atmospheric River

